Fire SuzakuTier 1
at RiRiCO 店冠賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 45.5% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 64.3% | +7.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 18.2% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 57.6% | +4.4 |
| Water Neos | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.1% | +6.8 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.0% | +24.0 |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.7% | +2.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 14 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 14 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignis Deus | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Embercrypt Burn | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Intensified Pyre | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Restorative Flame | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Raze the Land | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |